North Atlantic Oscillation

Assessing the robustness of multidecadal variability in Northern Hemisphere wintertime seasonal forecast skill

Recent studies have found evidence of multidecadal variability in Northern Hemisphere wintertime seasonal forecast skill. Here we assess the robustness of this finding by extending the analysis to a diverse set of ensemble atmospheric model …

Seasonal Predictability of the Winter North Atlantic Oscillation From a Jet Stream Perspective

Abstract The winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) has varied on interannual and decadal timescales over the last century, associated with variations in the speed and latitude of the eddy-driven jet stream. This paper uses hindcasts from two …

The emergence of zonal ocean jets under large-scale stochastic wind forcing

The response of a two-layer quasigeostrophic ocean model to basin scale stochastic wind forcing is investigated. As found in many previous studies, long Rossby waves are excited at the eastern boundary of the square model basin and the waves are …